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Creators/Authors contains: "Llamas, Ricardo"

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  1. Soil moisture is an important parameter that regulates multiple ecosystem processes and provides important information for environmental management and policy decision-making. Spaceborne sensors provide soil moisture information over large areas, but information is commonly available at coarse resolution with spatial and temporal gaps. Here, we present a modular spatial inference framework to downscale satellite-derived soil moisture using terrain parameters and test the performance of two modeling methods (Kernel-Weighted K-Nearest Neighbor and Random Forest ). We generate monthly and weekly gap-free spatial predictions on soil moisture at 1 km using data from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI; version 6.1) over two regions in the conterminous United States. RF was the method that performed better in cross-validation when comparing with the reference ESA-CCI data, but KKNN showed a slightly higher agreement with ground-truth information as part of independent validation. We postulate that more heterogeneous landscapes (i.e., high topographic variation) may be more challenging for downscaling and predicting soil moisture; therefore, moisture networks should increase monitoring efforts across these complex landscapes. Future opportunities for development of modular cyberinfrastructure tools for downscaling satellite-derived soil moisture are discussed. 
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  2. To trust findings in computational science, scientists need workflows that trace the data provenance and support results explainability. As workflows become more complex, tracing data provenance and explaining results become harder to achieve. In this paper, we propose a computational environment that automatically creates a workflow execution’s record trail and invisibly attaches it to the workflow’s output, enabling data traceability and results explainability. Our solution transforms existing container technology, includes tools for automatically annotating provenance metadata, and allows effective movement of data and metadata across the workflow execution. We demonstrate the capabilities of our environment with the study of SOMOSPIE, an earth science workflow. Through a suite of machine learning modeling techniques, this workflow predicts soil moisture values from the 27 km resolution satellite data down to higher resolutions necessary for policy making and precision agriculture. By running the workflow in our environment, we can identify the causes of different accuracy measurements for predicted soil moisture values in different resolutions of the input data and link different results to different machine learning methods used during the soil moisture downscaling, all without requiring scientists to know aspects of workflow design and implementation. 
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  3. Soil moisture plays a key role in the Earth’s water and carbon cycles, but acquisition of continuous (i.e., gap-free) soil moisture measurements across large regions is a challenging task due to limitations of currently available point measurements. Satellites offer critical information for soil moisture over large areas on a regular basis (e.g., European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI), National Aeronautics and Space Administration Soil Moisture Active Passive (NASA SMAP)); however, there are regions where satellite-derived soil moisture cannot be estimated because of certain conditions such as high canopy density, frozen soil, or extremely dry soil. We compared and tested three approaches, ordinary kriging (OK), regression kriging (RK), and generalized linear models (GLMs), to model soil moisture and fill spatial data gaps from the ESA CCI product version 4.5 from January 2000 to September 2012, over a region of 465,777 km2 across the Midwest of the USA. We tested our proposed methods to fill gaps in the original ESA CCI product and two data subsets, removing 25% and 50% of the initially available valid pixels. We found a significant correlation (r = 0.558, RMSE = 0.069 m3m−3) between the original satellite-derived soil moisture product with ground-truth data from the North American Soil Moisture Database (NASMD). Predicted soil moisture using OK also had significant correlation with NASMD data when using 100% (r = 0.579, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), 75% (r = 0.575, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), and 50% (r = 0.569, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3) of available valid pixels for each month of the study period. RK showed comparable values to OK when using different percentages of available valid pixels, 100% (r = 0.582, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), 75% (r = 0.582, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), and 50% (r = 0.571, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3). GLM had slightly lower correlation with NASMD data (average r = 0.475, RMSE = 0.070 m3m−3) when using the same subsets of available data (i.e., 100%, 75%, 50%). Our results provide support for using geostatistical approaches (OK and RK) as alternative techniques to gap-fill missing spatial values of satellite-derived soil moisture. 
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  4. The current availability of soil moisture data over large areas comes from satellite remote sensing technologies (i.e., radar-based systems), but these data have coarse resolution and often exhibit large spatial information gaps. Where data are too coarse or sparse for a given need (e.g., precision farming), one can leverage machine-learning techniques coupled with other sources of environmental information (e.g., topography) to generate gap-free information at a finer spatial resolution (i.e., increased granularity). To this end, we develop a spatial inference engine consisting of modular stages for processing spatial environmental data, generating predictions with machine-learning techniques, and analyzing these predictions. We demonstrate the functionality of this approach and the effects of data processing choices via multiple prediction maps over a United States ecological region with a highly diverse soil moisture profile (i.e., the Middle Atlantic Coastal Plains). The relevance of our work derives from a pressing need to improve the spatial representation of soil moisture for applications in environmental sciences (e.g., ecological niche modeling, carbon monitoring systems, and other Earth system models) and precision farming (e.g., optimizing irrigation practices and other land management decisions). 
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